The Next Five Years



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How Will The Electrical Channel Change In The Next Five Years?

Offer  your thoughts, see how others answered.

Thought Starters:

Read: "Boulder On The Hill"

The combination of issues we face amounts to a boulder perched on the crest of a hill. One nudge (major move or event) could trigger a series of other events In this way, major events change relationships between channel players, and things can’t continue with the same alignments.

1 What type of company are you?
  National Chain distributor One or Two Location distributor
  Super-Regional Chain distributor Manufacturer
  Regional Chain distributor Consultant
  Primarily 1 or 2 state chain distributor Marketing Group
  Metro Area Chain distributor Other
1a What are your approximate annual North American electrical products revenues?
  Less Than $15 million $100-249 million
  $15-25 million $250 - 500 million
  $25-49 million $500-999 million
  $50-99 million $1 billion plus
2 What is your primary vertical industry?
  Electrical
  Industrial
  Plumbing, PHCP products
  Other
3 Currently at about 31%, What percent of electrical distribution industry volume do you expect the Top 10 Electrical distributors to represent five years from now? (2008)
  25-30%
  31-35%
  35-40%
  41-45%
  46-50%
  50% plus
  I have no idea
4 Over the next five years, what or where will you be?
  an acquirer
  acquired
  still in business, downsized
  still in business, about the same size in current dollars
  still in business, with significant organic growth
5 Rank who will be the most active North American electrical distribution acquirers among the following over the next five years.
Most active Second Most active Third Most active Fourth Most Active Least Active Will be Acquired
Graybar
WESCO
CED
GE Supply
Rexel
Sonepar
Hagemayer
Other active acquirers
6 What types or specific manufacturer acquisitions/mergers could you see happening and why?
 
7 Which major distributor acquisitions/mergers could you see happening and why?
 
8 What will happen with REXEL?
  Will be sold as is to another electrical distributor
  Will be sold to a non-electrical distributor
  Will be sold to an out-of industry type of business
  Will be sold to a venture group or financial investor
  Will be sold in different pieces, i.e. North America or U.S. or North America separate from Europe, etc.
  It won't sell within a year
9 What do you think these manufacturers will do with their territory authorization practices over the next five years in the USA?
    More distributors per territory Same per territory Fewer per territory
  Rockwell/Allen-Bradley

  Cutler-Hammer

  GE Industrial Sys

  Siemens Energy & Automation

  Square D/Schneider

  GE Lamps

  Philips

  Sylvania/Osram

  Hubbell Wiring Devices

  Leviton

  Pass & Seymour

  Hoffman Engineering

  Rittal Enclosures

  Cooper Industries

  Ferraz-Shawmut

  Thomas & Betts

  Panduit

  Ideal Industries

  Klein Tools

10 How else will WIRING DEVICE manufacturers change how they deal with distributors over the next five years?
 
11 How else will DISTRIBUTION EQUIPMENT manufacturers change how they deal with distributors over the next five years?
 
12 How else will LAMP manufacturers change how they will deal with distributors over the next five years?
 
13 How do you see the role of distribution changing in the electrical channel over the next five years?
 
14 What will happen to electrical industry Marketing Groups by 2008?
Group Grow Combine Stay the same size Shrink Fold
AD
IMARK
Equity
EDN
UPA
15 What consolidations can you see happening with marketing groups? Who might combine? What New Groups? Which might failures
16 What new products or markets will emerge that could significantly change the industry?
17 If we go to war, what will happen to the economy? (assuming we win)
Brisk recovery and growth (3% plus real growth))
Moderate recovery and growth (.5%-2.9% real growth)
Flat: no real growth (-.5% to .5%)
Continued recession (-.5% or worse for a while)
18 If we don't go to war, what will happen to the economy?
Brisk recovery and growth (3% plus real growth)
Moderate recovery and growth (.5% -2.9% real growth)
Flat: no real growth (-.5% to .5%)
Continued recession (-.5% or worse for a while)
19 Comments, Other industry changes you think could happen.

 

Copyright © Channel Marketing Group, Inc. 2008

 
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